[Rhodes22-list] US Energy Supply & Demand

Mon May 3 19:16:19 EDT 2004

Steve,

The two attachments give the data re the United States supply & demand for
crude oil & natural gas.  I just happen to have these two plots because I
needed to generate them for the business plan in my MSTP531 Entrepreneurship
Seminar last week.  Take a look at the data because its pretty alarming!
Your statement re being able to make up the current shortfall in crude oil &
natural gas production are simply not correct.  I know because I just spent
most of last semester researching the subject.  Do you remember the 1973
OPEC oil embargo?  We currently import almost twice as much crude oil as in
1973.  OPEC can hurt us real bad any time they choose.  Perhaps in a couple
of years, with massive exploration + widespread application of secondary &
tertiary oil recovery techniques, we could make a substantial dent in our
oil imports.  But, do you you know how long an average supertanker of crude
oil will run the US economy?  About 2-3 days!  The famous strategic
petroleum reserve is only for the military.  It would only run our economy
for a couple of months.  We literally run the US energy economy on a
just-in-time supply basis!

Frankly, the US needs a better energy policy than the one we've got - or is
it the one we don't got!

Roger Pihlaja
S/V Dynamic Equilibrium

----- Original Message -----
From: "Steve" <rhodes2282 at yahoo.com>
To: "The Rhodes 22 mail list" <rhodes22-list at rhodes22.org>
Sent: Monday, May 03, 2004 12:00 PM
Subject: Re: [Rhodes22-list] reply to Wally's Politics

> Roger - you shouldn' unset poor Wally like that.  War
> is for Oil; Wally is lible to start believing that:-)
>
> For the record, the US is the 3rd largest producer of
> Oil in the World.  Yes, we import a lot of oil and
> natrual gas but those are the only two.  All other
> energy sources, the US is self reliant.
>
> Also for the record, we don't need the middle east
> oil.  We have the cability to produce our own
> stockpiles there in the US.  The fact that we don't;
> just thank your Democrats & Enviormentalist.  Also, we
> can produce enough energy to last 250 years if we
> swithch over to utilize Coal.
> Steve
>
>
>
> --- ed kroposki <ekroposki at charter.net> wrote:
> > Wally:
> >
> > For those with no connection to New York City, nor
> > ever having seen
> > the twin towers, it appears easy to forget the part
> > of the equation that
> > deals with terrorist.  Many say Iraq had no
> > connection.  I beg your pardon.
> > One terrorist wanted for questioning fled to Iraq
> > and was given asylum and
> > sanctuary by Sadaam.
> > Loud voices say no weapons of mass destruction were
> > found. Just two
> > weeks ago in Jordan a plot to use chemical weapons
> > was stopped in Jordan.
> > Analyst determined the weapons came to Jordan thru
> > Syria.  The chemicals
> > were determined to have been made in Iraq in what
> > the news media called a
> > fertilizer factory.
> > I say it is better to take the fight to terrorist
> > where they come
> > from and not allow them to do their dirty tricks in
> > America.  Maybe you
> > think the middle of Tennessee is safe.  But where is
> > Oak Ridge?  Are you
> > willing to let terrorist get inside and control of
> > the plant?  I imagine
> > that they could made a bang there.
> > This problem is not only about oil.
> > Humpf!
> >                Ed K
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: rhodes22-list-bounces at rhodes22.org
> > [mailto:rhodes22-list-bounces at rhodes22.org] On
> > Behalf Of Wally Buck
> > Sent: Monday, May 03, 2004 7:59 AM
> > To: rhodes22-list at rhodes22.org
> > Subject: Re: [Rhodes22-list] More Politics
> >
> > Roger,
> >
> > I would have much more respect for the war
> > supporters if they all admited
> > that it was about oil. If you listen to folks like
> > Steve one can see they
> > are blinded by party line. To me their viewpoint is
> > the one that is naive.
> > They are buying into all of the other reasons like
> > freedon, WMD, and so on.
> > Your post supports my belief, that oil is blood and
> > we are the ones
> > attacking over it. Some just need to wrap their arms
> > around that!
> >
> > Wally
> >
> >
> > >From: "Roger Pihlaja" <cen09402 at centurytel.net>
> > >Reply-To: The Rhodes 22 mail list
> > <rhodes22-list at rhodes22.org>
> > >To: "The Rhodes 22 mail list"
> > <rhodes22-list at rhodes22.org>
> > >Subject: Re: [Rhodes22-list] More Politics
> > >Date: Fri, 30 Apr 2004 19:20:27 -0400
> > >
> > >Gentlemen,
> > >
> > >The world population is currently at about 6.2
> > billion people & continuing
> > >to grow exponentially.  Depending upon which study
> > you believe, that's
> > >about
> > >2X - 3X the size of the population that could be
> > supported W/O modern
> > >technology.  Like it or not, that means
> > transportation, energy systems,
> > >infrastructure, & products that run on crude oil.
> > If the civilized world
> > >does not take steps to assure the uninterrupted
> > flow of crude oil from the
> > >Middle East; then, more people are going to have to
> > die off than have died
> > >in all of the wars and all of the plagues
> > throughout human history
> > >combined!
> > >Please keep that in mind as you go on & on about
> > how there should be no
> > >blood for oil.  The plain, unvarnished,
> > irrefutable, inescapable truth is
> > >that OIL IS BLOOD!  Wrap your arms around that
> > concept & learn to deal with
> > >it.  Any other attitude is so naive that it must be
> > considered childish.
> > >For everything else that G.W. Bush has done wrong,
> > he clearly understands
> > >that basic truth.
> > >
> > >Roger Pihlaja
> > >S/V Dynamic Equilibrium
> > >
> > >----- Original Message -----
> > >From: "Wally Buck" <tnrhodey at hotmail.com>
> > >To: <rhodes22-list at rhodes22.org>
> > >Sent: Friday, April 30, 2004 9:40 AM
> > >Subject: Re: [Rhodes22-list] More Politics
> > >
> > >
> > > > Steve,
> > > >
> > > > I wouldn't call Bush's taking us to war over
> > false hoods a "minor
> > >lapse".
> > > > Talk about understatement!
> > > >
> > > > I agree that the French and Russians were on the
> > take. At least when the
> > > > French and Russian's were on the take no
> > Americans were getting killed.
> > >I
> > > > have said all along this war is about oil and
> > Paul's post supports my
> > >view
> > > > point. WMD, human rights, freedom and so on all
> > sound good but if there
> > > > wasn't a drop of oil in the area the US, France,
> > and Russia wouldn't
> > >give
> > >a
> > > > flip.So now we are at "war " and the US controls
> > the oil. I don't see
> > >how
> > > > this is a big improvement.
> > > >
> > > > Wally
> > > >
> > > >
> > > > >From: Steve <rhodes2282 at yahoo.com>
> > > > >Reply-To: The Rhodes 22 mail list
> > <rhodes22-list at rhodes22.org>
> > > > >To: The Rhodes 22 mail list
> > <rhodes22-list at rhodes22.org>
> > > > >Subject: Re: [Rhodes22-list] More Politics
> > > > >Date: Thu, 29 Apr 2004 11:25:08 -0700 (PDT)
> > > > >
> > > > >Very interesting, Paul.  You know, I figured it
> > was
> > > > >only a matter of time before this came out.  A
> > country
> > > > >such a French putting monetary issue before the
> > safety
> > > > >of the world.  We should all get down on our
> > knees &
> > > > >thank God that we have our President (and a
> > GREAT
> > > > >President at that) & Tony Blair over in England
> > that
> > > > >was willing to take a stand for whats
> > right!!!!!!!!!!
> > > > >Where me a flag; I feel like saluting it:-)
> > > > >Steve
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >--- pdgrand at nospam.wmis.net wrote:
> > > > > > Forgive me if you receive this twice.  I
> > > > > > accidentally left out the subject
> > > > > > on the first try. - Paul
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > > April 28, 2004 -- ANYONE who pines for
> > genuine
> > > > > > international
> > > > > > multilateralism would do well to follow the
> > bribes
> > > > > > now being uncovered in
> > > > > > the United Nations' Oil-for- Food scandal.
> > > > > > Why did France and Russia oppose efforts to
> > topple
> > > > > > Saddam Hussein's regime?
> > > > > > And why did they press constantly,
> > throughout the
> > > > > > '90s, for an expansion of
> > > > > > Iraqi oil sales? Was it their empathy for
> > the
> > > > > > starving children of that
> > > > > > impoverished nation? Their desire to stop
> > the United
> > > > > > States from arrogantly
> > > > > > imposing its vision upon the Middle East?
> > > > > >
> > > > > > It now looks like they it was simply because
> > they
> > > > > > were on the take. Saddam
> > > > > > was their cash cow. If President Bush has
> > suffered
> > > > > > some discredit over his
> > > > > > apparently false - but not disingenuous -
> > claims of
> > > > > > Iraqi weapons of mass
> > > > > > destruction, the lapse is minor compared to
> > the
> > > > > > outright personal
> > > > > > selfishness and criminality that appears to
> > have
> > > > > > motivated many of those
> > > > > > who opposed his efforts to rid the world of
> > one of
> > > > > > its worst dictators.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Throughout the '90s, France and Russia
> > badgered the
> > > > > > United States and
> > > > > > Britain to increase Iraqi oil production.
> > President
> > > > > > Bill Clinton and Prime
> > > > > > Minister Tony Blair fought them at each
> > step, but
> > > > > > then reluctantly gave
> > > > > > way. First Iraq was allowed to sell 500,000
> > barrels
> > > > > > daily. Then, on Franco-
> > > > > > Russian insistence, it was raised to 1
> > million, then
> > > > > > to 2 million and,
> > > > > > finally, to 3 million barrels a day.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Each time, America and Britain - the nations
> > now
> > > > > > accused of coveting Iraqi
> > > > > > oil - resisted the increases in Iraqi
> > production and
> > > > > > urged tighter controls
> > > > > > over the program. Each time, the French and
> > the
> > > > > > Russians prattled on about
> > > > > > the rights of Iraqi sovereignty and the need
> > to feed
> > > > > > the children.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Now we know why the French and Russians were
> > so
> > > > > > insistent. Iraqi government
> > > > > > documents (leaked to the Baghdad newspaper
> > Al Mada)
> > > > > > list at least 270
> > > > > > individuals and entities who got vouchers
> > allowing
> > > > > > them to sell Iraqi oil -
> > > > > > and to keep much of the money. These
> > vouchers, and
> > > > > > the promise of instant
> > > > > > great wealth they carried with them, bought
> > vital
> > > > > > support in the United
> > > > > > Nations to let Saddam stay in power.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > The list of those receiving these bribes
> > includes
> > > > > > France's former French
> > > > > > Interior Minister Charles Pasqua (who's a
> > leader of
> > > > > > Chirac's party) and
> > > > > > Patrick Maugein, the head of the French Oil
> > firm
> > > > > > Soco International.
> > > > > > France's former U.N. ambassador,
> > Jean-Bernard
> > > > > > Merimee, got vouchers to sell
> > > > > > 11 million barrels.
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > > In Russia, the payoff chain reached right
> > into the
> > > > > > "office of the Russian
> > > > > > president." President Vladimir Putin's Peace
> > and
> > > > > > Unity Party also got
> > > > > > vouchers, as did the Soviet-era Prime
> > Minister
> > > > > > Nikolai Ryzhkov and the
> > > > > > Russian Orthodox Church. Nationalist leader
> > Vladimir
> > > > > > Zhirinovsky shared in
> > > > > > the largesse.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Not to be left behind, the Rev. Jean Marie
> > Benjamin
> > > > > > of the Vatican got the
> > > > > > rights to sell 4.5 million barrels as
> > recompense for
> > > > > > setting up a meeting
> > > > > > between Iraqi Foreign Minister Tariq Aziz
> > and the
> > > > > > pope.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Indeed, the list indicates that Benon Sevan,
> > the
> > > > > > United Nations official in
> > > > > > charge of the Oil-for-Food program. received
> > > > > > vouchers. He denies the
> > > > > > charge, but has decided to retire next month
> > anyway.
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > > At the start of the Oil-for-Food program,
> > America
> > > > > > and Britain proposed that
> > > > > > the money flow only to accounts entirely
> > controlled
> > > > > > by the United Nations.
> > > > > > Soon this standard was lowered to include
> > accounts
> > > > > > not actually controlled
> > > > > > by the United Nations, but only monitored by
> > it.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Then-Sen. Frank Murkowski (R-Alaska) warned
> > that
> > > > > > "oil is fungible" and
> > > > > > noted that once Iraq was allowed to pump and
> > sell
> > > > > > it, Saddam could sell all
> > > > > > he wanted outside of officially sanctioned
> > channels
> > > > > > and nobody could tell
> > > > > > which black liquid was legal and which not.
> > But
> > > > > > nobody imagined that there
> > > > > > were actual bribes going to specific French,
> > Russian
> > > > > > and U.N. officials as
> > > > > > part of the program.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > Now it appears that Secretary-General Kofi
> > Annan's
> > > > > > sanctimonious posturing
> > > > > > may have concealed oil bribes which reached
> > high up
> > > > > > in the ranks of the
> > > > > > U.N. organization itself.
> > > > > >
> > > > > > The defect of international coalitions is
> > that they
> > > > > > include the just and
> > > > > > the unjust, the bribed and the honest, the
> > > > > > democratic and the autocratic.
> > > > > > And their members cannot be trusted equally.
> > The
> > > > > > group that stood up and
> > > > > > backed the invasion of Iraq was nicknamed
> > "the
> > > > > > Coalition of the Willing."
> > > > > > Now it appears it was also "the Coalition of
> > the
> > > > > > Honest."
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > > > > >
> > __________________________________________________
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> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
> > > > >
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