[Rhodes22-list] Politics: How's It Going?
Herb Parsons
hparsons at parsonsys.com
Mon Jun 5 09:05:03 EDT 2006
DC, you've missed MY point completely. I never even asked if there was "a plan" on this war (though there is). MY point was that I keep hearing about the lack of a plan FOR the war, so I simply asked someone to point out a plan for WWII that resembled the outcome.
What I see on this war is a bunch of new ad-hoc "standards" set as we go along by those that oppose the war. They cite this reason and that reason that make it a "mistake" and indicate we're "failing", when in reality, at least to me, they appear to be after-the-fact excuses to bolster their opposition. They would be opposed if those issues were not in place (actually, often those "issues" AREN'T in place), and would simply find other "reason" to be opposed.
>>> DCLewis1 at aol.com 6/4/2006 11:56:36 pm >>>
Herb,
If you review my prior post carefully it did not explicitly refer to the
current Administration. If you would like to make that inference, feel free.
My comments were based on the public historical record. There was clearly no
well thought out plan to deal with the sectarian conflicts that have
developed in Iraq. We were going to be greeted a liberators, right? Yeah. Forget
that. We've humored the Suunies and/or the Shiites , we've bullied the
Suunies and/or the Shiites we've tried to coopt the Suunies and/or the Shiites,
whatever might work, we've tried it all and none of it has worked. and the
plan has evolved in real time. It's a matter of record that there were
insufficient civil affairs personnel available after the invasion - people in those
military specialties were frozen in their services. I believe civil affairs
military specialties are still in short supply. Nor were there sufficient
native speakers available. The entire effort was a flop from t=0. The reason
L Bremer was sent over to replace the lady the State Dept initially assigned
to administer Iraq was that the effort wasn't working. The number of troops
assigned for occupation was far less than Germany, or Japan - big mistake.
I say again, the public historical record shows the occupation of Iraq was
poorly thought through - that is not a reflection on the people on the ground
it's a reflection on the planners and organizers that are supposed to think
these things through. In my opinion, the poor planning has actually put the
troops on the ground at increased risk.
As to your comment that plans to divy up the spoils are not about how to
win, let me be clear. As I understand it Yalta was indeed how to divide the
spoils of war, and it specifically entailed coordination as to which nation's
Armies were to operate in which areas. Moreover, subsequent to Yalta it was
necessary for each party to the agreement to assign tangible and sufficient
military units to effect their portion of the agreement and for those units to
make a best effort to occupy the agreed areas as expeditiously as possible -
in military parlance that's called a plan of action, note the word plan. The
US occupation did not "just happen", nor was the area the US occupied a
surprise to any party to Yalta. I believe the US and British were concerned
that if they did NOT occupy quickly and as agreed the Soviets would fill the
vacuum. The strategic plan was agreed at Yalta. A military campaign plan was
developed to support that agreement, and conformed in general terms to the
codicils of that agreement. The specific plans for each military unit flowed
down from the Yalta agreement - subject to the opportunities and vagaries of
war. Believe it or not, there was a plan to win the war in Europe, and it
worked. Also, the occupation plan worked.
My MacArthur example was explicitly about an occupation plan that had been
developed prior to the occupation, it was in no way about divying up the spoils
of war. The plan worked and resulted in a minimal loss of American lives.
I believe I remember many people thinking the Emperor should have been held
as accountable as the rest of his stooges; that is I think the occupation
plan in Japan was controversial at the time. In retrospect it was brilliant.
Dave
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