[Rhodes22-list] POLITICAL- New CNN Poll Palin/Huckabee Tied
Ben Cittadino
bcittadino at dcs-law.com
Fri Dec 5 17:44:16 EST 2008
FYI Troops;
Huckabee and Palin top early 2012 list
Posted: 04:12 PM ET
>From CNN Deputy Political Director Paul Steinhauser
Poll suggests Gov. Sarah Palin is a 2012 presidential hopeful.
WASHINGTON (CNN) — Barack Obama is still more than six weeks from White
House, and the next Iowa caucuses are more than three years away — so
naturally, it’s time to start talking 2012, as a new national poll suggests
that Sarah Palin and Mike Huckabee top the list of potential 2012 Republican
presidential hopefuls.
In a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey out Friday that serves as an
early measure of potential support for the next GOP presidential nomination,
Huckabee tops the list. Thirty-four percent of Republicans and independent
voters who lean towards the GOP say they are very likely to support the
former Arkansas governor if he were to become their party’s nominee in 2012.
Huckabee surprised many by winning this year's Republican caucuses in Iowa
and seven other contests before ending his run in March.
Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, John McCain's running mate in this year's election,
draws nearly as much support: 32 percent of those polled said they would get
behind a Palin nomination. And with the survey's sampling error of plus or
minus 4.5 points, Palin and Huckabee are statistically tied.
The survey is an early measure of possible support, not a horse race
snapshot.
“It might come as a surprise to some that Palin does better than Huckabee
among GOP men but that Huckabee beats Palin among Republican women,” says
CNN Polling Director Keating Holland. “Palin's strength is also concentrated
among older Republicans, but Huckabee may have a slight edge among
conservative Republicans."
Among voters who consider themselves born again or evangelical, Huckabee
draws more support than Palin, with a 9 point edge. Meanwhile, Palin holds a
7-point advantage among non-born again or evangelical voters.
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is in third place in the poll, with 28
percent of those questioned saying they are very likely to suport him as the
GOP nominee in 2012.
Former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich draws roughly the same level of
support as Romney, at 27 percent. In 2007, Gingrich flirted with making a
run for the Republican presidential nomination, but decided against jumping
into the race.
Twenty-three percent of those polled say they would be very likely to
support Rudy Giuliani if he decides to run again. The former New York City
mayor was the national frontrunner in many polls in late 2007, before
performing poorly in the early primaries and caucuses. He dropped out of the
race for the White House in late January.
Louisana Gov. Bobby Jindal, who's considered a rising star in the GOP, draws
support from 19 percent of those surveyed, and Florida Gov. Charlie Crist 7
percent.
“Jindal and Crist are relative unknowns. The fact that they get much less
support than the others is likely a function of name recognition rather than
a true measure of their potential base of support," says Holland.
The CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll was conducted Monday and Tuesday,
with 460 Republicans and independent voters who lean Republican questioned
by telephone."
Thoughts???
Ben C.
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