[Rhodes22-list] Politiical- More Bad News About McCain Health Plan

[Ben Cittadino]

AP ran this story today about the truth concerning the McCain Health Plan:
     
Obama jumps on McCain adviser's health remarks
By KEVIN FREKING (Associated Press Writer)
>From Associated Press
October 28, 2008 5:13 PM EDT 
WASHINGTON - Barack Obama's presidential campaign claimed Tuesday that
comments by a top adviser to John McCain reinforced Obama's contention that
millions would be worse off if they lose employer-sponsored health coverage
and end up buying it themselves.

McCain wants to change the current income tax treatment of health insurance,
treating payments toward health insurance as taxable wages. In exchange,
individuals would get a $2,500 tax credit and families would get a $5,000
credit when buying health coverage.

Some health analysts say the Republican's plan would erode employer-based
health insurance coverage by encouraging younger, healthier workers to shop
around and find a better deal directly from an insurer in the individual
market. And, if those workers dropped employer coverage, some companies
would eliminate coverage entirely because of the costs associated with
insuring older or less healthy employees.

Douglas Holtz-Eakin, a domestic policy adviser for McCain, attempted to
assure that such a scenario would not occur, but gave Obama an opening.

"Why would they leave?" Holtz-Eakin said in a story published by
CNNMoney.com "What they are getting from their employer is way better than
what they could get with the credit."

Obama's campaign quickly seized on the comment. In remarks prepared for
delivery Tuesday in Harrisonburg, Va., Obama described Holtz-Eakin's
comments as a "stunning bit of straight talk, an October surprise from his
top economic adviser."

"(Holtz-Eakin) said that the health insurance people currently get from
their employer is and I quote 'way better' than the health care they would
get if John McCain becomes president," Obama said. "Now this is the point
I've been making since Sen. McCain unveiled his plan. It took until the last
seven days of this election for his campaign to finally admit the truth. But
hey, better late than never."

Holtz-Eakin said he was trying to say that the individual health insurance
market can be improved and that McCain has offered proposals to make it
better, but that the changes McCain seeks won't weaken employer-sponsored
health coverage.

"The question I answered was: 'Will the young and healthy leave their
generous employer-sponsored coverage as the Obama campaign claims?' My
response was that, obviously, if they had better coverage, they would not
change. The Obama campaign deliberately took the quote out of context. This
continues their disgraceful campaign," Holtz-Eakin said.

Obama campaign officials noted that an independent analysis by the Tax
Policy Center projects that McCain's plan would cause about 21 million
people to buy coverage in the individual market over the next 10 years, but
that 20 million would have lost or refused coverage through their employer.
The Tax Policy Center is a joint project of the Urban Institute and the
Brookings Institution, two think tanks.

"It's a bad deal to push people into the individual market because people
pay more for less," said Neera Tanden, Obama's domestic policy director. "So
what was astonishing is that Doug Holtz-Eakin basically agreed with Sen.
Obama that the individual market is a worse deal."

If anybody pays attention to this, McCain is toast.

Ben C.


Ben Cittadino wrote:
> 
> Reading this editorial is worth the effort if you have any interest at all
> in the McCain/Obama health care debate. I've printed it out so it's easy
> to read. You don't even have to click on a link. Just keep reading:
> NEW YORK TIMES
>  October 28, 2008
> Editorial
> The Candidates’ Health Plans 
> The nation’s health care system is desperately in need of reform — as far
> too many Americans know from grim, personal experience. In this election,
> Barack Obama and John McCain are offering starkly different ideas for how
> to fix that system. 
> 
> There is no shortage of problems:
> 
> ¶ Some 45 million Americans lack health insurance, limiting their ability
> to get timely care. 
> 
> ¶ The costs of medical care and health insurance are rising much faster
> than household incomes, making it increasingly difficult for people to
> afford either. 
> 
> ¶ People can’t carry their insurance from one job to another, limiting
> their mobility. Outside the workplace, it is hard to find affordable
> insurance. 
> 
> ¶ Despite the wealth and technological prowess of this country, the
> quality of medical care often lags behind that available in other
> industrialized nations. 
> 
> Both candidates have largely accepted the prevailing expert wisdom on ways
> to improve quality and lower health care costs over the long run, such as
> relying more on electronic medical records and better management of the
> chronically ill. But they have very different ideas on the best way to
> make insurance available and affordable for all Americans. 
> 
> We believe that Mr. McCain’s plan, which relies on reshaping the tax code,
> is far too risky. It is likely to erode employer-provided group health
> insurance and push more people into purchasing their own insurance on the
> dysfunctional open market, where insurers often reject applicants with
> pre-existing conditions. 
> 
> Mr. Obama has focused primarily on extending coverage to a big chunk of
> the 45 million uninsured Americans by expanding existing private and
> public programs with the help of federal subsidies and mandates. His
> boldest innovation would be a new federally regulated exchange where
> Americans not covered at work would be able to choose — as federal
> employees currently can — among a variety of private group policies. He
> would also create a new public program to compete with the private
> insurers. 
> 
> Mr. Obama’s plan is a better start than Mr. McCain’s. But it is still not
> likely to help all Americans who need and deserve affordable, high-quality
> medical care.
> 
> As voters weigh their choice for next Tuesday’s election, we offer this
> detailed review of the two candidates’ plans. 
> 
> THE MCCAIN PROPOSAL Mr. McCain’s main idea is to change the tax code so
> that workers would have to pay income taxes on the value of their
> employer’s contribution to their health insurance. In return, all
> Americans, whether currently insured or not, would receive a tax credit of
> $2,500 for an individual or $5,000 for a family to buy health insurance,
> either through their employer or on the open market. 
> 
> Mr. Obama has derided this plan as giving tax credits with one hand and
> taking them away with the other. But the tax credits are initially so
> generous that a great majority of workers would end up ahead: their tax
> credit would exceed the tax they would have to pay on their
> employer-provided insurance. 
> 
> They could stay in the same health plan at work and have extra money that
> could be applied to other health care costs. Or they could buy policies in
> the open market. As good as that sounds, a $5,000 credit would not go very
> far toward buying a typical $12,000 family policy but might well suffice
> for the young and healthy, who get preferable rates. 
> 
> Mr. McCain correctly recognizes that there are disadvantages to linking
> insurance to jobs — as thousands of laid-off American workers already are
> discovering — and that there is an intrinsic inequity in the current tax
> code that favors those who have employer plans over those buying
> individual coverage.
> 
> The great danger is that Mr. McCain’s plan will fragment the sharing of
> risks and costs — the bedrock of any good insurance plan — by enticing
> young, healthy workers to bail out of their employers’ group policies to
> seek cheaper insurance on their own. Their older or less healthy
> colleagues would be left behind, which would drive up premiums at work.
> The rising costs could lead many companies to drop their health coverage
> entirely.
> 
> The proposal also offers little protection for older and sicker people
> forced to buy policies in the open market. Mr. McCain says the federal
> government would help underwrite high-risk pools like those operated by
> many states to cover such patients. But the subsidies his aides have
> talked about — some $7 billion to $10 billion a year — would fall far
> short of the amount needed. 
> 
> Mr. McCain would loosen state regulations on insurers by allowing
> companies to sell across state lines. Some states require insurers to
> accept all applicants and provide specified standard benefits, and they
> limit the ability of companies to base premiums on health status. In the
> name of promoting competition, Mr. McCain’s plan would free companies from
> those terms. Anyone who lost insurance as a result would have to seek
> coverage through the high-risk pools. 
> 
> THE OBAMA PLAN Mr. Obama would do far more than his opponent to address
> the nation’s shameful failure to provide health coverage for all citizens.
> He would require all parents to get coverage for their children and expand
> Medicaid and the State Children’s Health Insurance Program. He would also
> require large and midsize companies to offer health insurance to their
> workers or pay into a kitty to subsidize coverage elsewhere — a provision
> that Senator McCain castigates as a “fine” but that really is their fair
> share of the burden.
> 
> Mr. Obama says the government would provide subsidies to encourage small
> employers to offer coverage and to help low-income people buy insurance.
> This is not a government-run program — as Mr. McCain claims — but it does
> give the government a much bigger role than it now has by expanding public
> programs and creating a new national plan.
> 
> Mr. Obama would also greatly increase government regulation of the
> insurance industry. He would require insurance companies to take every
> applicant and meet a minimum standard of benefits, and he would prevent
> them from charging higher premiums based on an applicant’s health. Some
> states have similar requirements now and insurance companies still sell
> policies there.
> 
> COVERAGE Some experts estimate that the McCain plan would reduce the
> number of uninsured only modestly because millions of people would drop or
> lose employer coverage, and not many more than that would buy policies
> outside of work. The nonpartisan Tax Policy Center estimates that the
> McCain plan would lower the number of uninsured by a mere two million in
> 2018, out of a projected 67 million uninsured in that year. The Obama plan
> would cut the number by 34 million, the center says, but still leave
> nearly 33 million uninsured. 
> 
> The McCain campaign makes an optimistic prediction that up to 30 million
> of the uninsured might take out policies using their tax credits. If so,
> those policies would probably be meager — with high deductibles, large
> co-payments and limited benefits — and unlikely to provide much help in a
> crisis. 
> 
> COSTS Despite all the Republican warnings about high-spending Democrats,
> McCain’s plan could be a lot more expensive than Mr. Obama’s, at least in
> the early years, and possibly in the long term. This is because the
> generous tax credits would drain federal revenues faster than the tax on
> employer policies would replenish them. 
> 
> The Tax Policy Center estimates that the McCain plan would cost the
> federal government $1.3 trillion over 10 years, and the Obama plan $1.6
> trillion. Using different assumptions, the Lewin Group, a consulting firm,
> estimates that the McCain plan would increase federal spending by $2.05
> trillion over 10 years, compared with $1.17 trillion for the Obama
> package. 
> 
> Neither candidate has persuasively explained how he would pay for his
> plan. Mr. Obama says he would apply the money saved by rescinding Bush-era
> tax cuts for the wealthy and hoped-for savings from reforming the health
> care system, but there is considerable doubt those savings will
> materialize quickly. 
> 
> Mr. McCain also counts on cost-containment measures but is mostly relying
> on market forces to reduce the cost of health insurance and health care.
> He expects that people who buy their own coverage will shop for cheaper
> policies and make more careful choices about what medical care they really
> need. Among the dangers is that chronically ill people may forgo needed
> treatments.
> 
> Mr. Obama’s plan is the better one because it would cover far more of the
> uninsured, spread risks and costs more equitably and result in more
> comprehensive coverage for most Americans. We fear Mr. McCain’s plan would
> jeopardize employer-based coverage without providing an adequate
> substitute. At a time when so many employers are reducing or dropping
> coverage, that is not a risk that the country can afford to take."
>  
> Copyright 2008 The New York Times Company 
> 
> This editorial adds to the chorus of knowledgable commentators who believe
> the Obama plan for health care makes mor sense than McCains approach.
> 
> Ben Cittadino 
> 
>   
> 

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